Kalshi · Polymarket US · 15-minute crypto up or down
Live calls on 15-minute windows.
Hindsight watches Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP every second, prices each window on Kalshi and Polymarket US, and calls the trade when the favorite is worth buying after the fee, on whichever exchange is cheaper. Follow the calls on the desk or in Telegram and decide whether to trade.
How a window works
DiagramHow it works
Three steps, every 15 minutes, all day.
Watch every second
Prices stream straight from Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini and Bitstamp, blended and corrected each window to the CF Benchmarks index the markets settle on. The bid and ask on Kalshi and Polymarket US are checked every second.
Call the favorite when it's worth it
When one side trades inside the price band late in the window and the model's chance beats the price plus the exchange's fee, the call goes out to every member at the same moment, on the desk and in Telegram. Plenty of windows don't qualify and get no call.
Trade it your way
Review the call on the desk and decide whether to place a trade on your own Kalshi or Polymarket US account. You choose what to trade and how much to spend.
Track record
Every call, counted as it settles.
Wins and losses alike. Each call counts as one contract bought at the price when the call went out, after the exchange's fee. Past results don't predict future ones.
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What members get
The desk, the calls, and the results.
The live desk
- Price vs the strike, second by second
- The model's chance next to the market's
- Every exchange feed and its delay
- Each window's result and the edge check
The calls
- Same call, same moment, for every member
- Optional browser notifications, with sound if you choose
- Every call in Telegram too, with the result after
- Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP
The results
- A record of every call and how it settled
- Wins and losses shown together
- Results after exchange fees
Pricing
One plan.
- The live desk and every call
- Renews automatically every month until you cancel. Cancel any time from your account page with one button; you keep access until the month you paid for ends
- Prices may increase for future renewals after advance notice, as described in the terms. Cancel before the increase to avoid the higher charge
- Have a code? Enter it when you sign up
Refer a friend
Every member gets a referral link. When someone signs up with yours and makes their first payment, $5 comes off your next bill. There's no limit.
Questions
Before you join
Do I need an exchange account?
To trade, yes: Kalshi, or Polymarket US, the US version of Polymarket (polymarket.com doesn't allow US users). The desk and the calls work without one, but placing trades needs an account in good standing where you live. These exchanges aren't available everywhere, so check first.
How do Telegram alerts work?
Tap Connect Telegram on your account page, press Start in the chat that opens, and every call comes to you there the moment it goes out, with the result when the window settles. Send /stop to pause them. They stop on their own if your membership ends.
Is this investment advice?
No. Every member gets the same calls, made by a fixed set of rules rather than for your situation. Whether and how much to trade is your decision.
Can I lose money?
Yes. Favorites usually win, but a loss costs far more than a win earns, so a few losses can erase many wins. Only trade money you can afford to lose, and read the risk disclosure.
How do referrals work?
Share your link from your account page. When someone signs up with it and makes their first payment, you get a $5 credit on your next bill. If they joined with a free first month, the credit comes when their first paid month starts.
How do I cancel?
On your account page, press Cancel membership and confirm. It stays active until the end of the month you've paid for, and it won't renew. No calls, no forms.
Will the price ever change on me?
Your membership renews at the price you agreed to when you joined. If a free month or a discount is ending, or if the price ever changes, you'll get an email 7 to 30 days before the new price applies, so you can cancel first. You'll also get a reminder of your renewal terms once a year.